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Red103
351237.0
613522.1
261444.0
Blue91
870115.0
521633.1
133949.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1061038012014016010391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2614
#12
44.00.0
42.742.7
Auto9.4
Teleop23.4
End11.2
blue by 5.0
49.00.7
48.347.6
Auto13.5
Teleop23.8
End11.6
Second
3512
#46
37.00.0
35.535.5
Auto6.3
Teleop20.4
End10.3
red by 3.9
5216
#54
33.10.7
33.633.0
Auto7.4
Teleop18.2
End7.4
Third
6135
#70
22.10.0
20.820.8
Auto6.6
Teleop13.6
End1.8
red by 7.1
8701
#38
15.00.7
14.914.2
Auto3.5
Teleop5.0
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
93%Cargo oddsEarned99%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
74%Hangar oddsEarned95%Hangar oddsMissed