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Red136
283230.7
18049.5
347844.4
Blue114
715322.0
153837.1
180736.3
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1399050100150200136114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#21
49.50.2
51.351.5
Auto12.7
Teleop30.2
End6.6
red by 12.4
1538
#10
37.11.6
36.137.6
Auto11.6
Teleop22.3
End3.2
Second
44.40.2
42.742.9
Auto10.4
Teleop28.7
End5.3
red by 8.1
1807
#64
36.31.6
34.736.3
Auto10.3
Teleop16.5
End9.5
Third
2832
#23
30.70.2
30.630.8
Auto8.7
Teleop16.6
End5.4
red by 8.7
7153
#50
22.01.6
19.921.5
Auto7.0
Teleop11.2
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
97%Cargo oddsEarned97%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
91%Hangar oddsEarned57%Hangar oddsEarned