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Red90
220242.9
52535.1
283913.5
Blue150
449950.0
581725.3
62455.8
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8814305010020025090150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2202
#40
42.90.0
42.042.1
Auto10.1
Teleop25.1
End7.7
blue by 12.9
624
#4
55.81.5
54.355.8
Auto12.9
Teleop33.6
End9.3
Second
525
#29
35.10.0
33.133.2
Auto7.6
Teleop17.3
End10.1
blue by 14.9
50.01.5
49.250.8
Auto9.0
Teleop30.4
End10.6
Third
2839
#57
13.50.0
14.514.5
Auto3.4
Teleop3.8
End6.3
blue by 11.8
5817
#32
25.31.5
23.525.1
Auto6.4
Teleop13.8
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
93%Cargo oddsEarned99%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
86%Hangar oddsEarned95%Hangar oddsEarned