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Red79
492633.7
803712.5
603641.3
Blue120
784822.8
157446.6
20135.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10110605015020025030079120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6036
#17
41.31.1
41.740.6
Auto10.6
Teleop24.8
End5.9
blue by 5.3
1574
#19
46.61.1
44.645.7
Auto12.3
Teleop23.6
End10.7
Second
4926
#30
33.71.1
37.436.3
Auto8.6
Teleop15.6
End9.5
blue by 1.5
201
#51
35.31.1
32.233.4
Auto8.3
Teleop18.4
End8.6
Third
8037
#74
12.51.1
16.415.3
Auto4.1
Teleop4.6
End3.7
blue by 10.3
7848
#61
22.81.1
22.323.4
Auto7.3
Teleop10.6
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
97%Cargo oddsEarned92%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
56%Hangar oddsEarned69%Hangar oddsEarned