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Red124
521633.1
170651.5
213535.3
Blue58
180736.3
459211.0
642424.9
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124685010015020012458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.51.0
43.144.1
Auto12.3
Teleop32.7
End6.5
red by 15.1
1807
#64
36.31.4
40.739.3
Auto10.3
Teleop16.5
End9.5
Second
2135
#44
35.31.0
36.537.4
Auto9.7
Teleop13.4
End12.2
red by 10.4
6424
#34
24.91.4
22.821.4
Auto7.8
Teleop12.7
End4.4
Third
5216
#54
33.11.0
29.730.7
Auto7.4
Teleop18.2
End7.4
red by 22.1
4592
#67
11.01.4
7.66.2
Auto3.5
Teleop5.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsEarned63%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
94%Hangar oddsEarned46%Hangar oddsMissed