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Red56
82928.3
702130.8
115616.7
Blue119
49448.7
261444.0
715322.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8512305010015020056119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7021
#42
30.82.2
35.333.1
Auto10.2
Teleop15.1
End5.5
blue by 17.9
494
#9
48.70.5
46.747.3
Auto11.4
Teleop24.0
End13.4
Second
829
#43
28.32.2
30.228.1
Auto7.4
Teleop12.1
End8.8
blue by 15.7
2614
#12
44.00.5
42.743.2
Auto9.4
Teleop23.4
End11.2
Third
1156
#69
16.72.2
18.816.7
Auto4.6
Teleop11.7
End0.4
blue by 5.3
7153
#50
22.00.5
21.522.0
Auto7.0
Teleop11.2
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
94%Cargo oddsMissed99%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
67%Hangar oddsMissed92%Hangar oddsEarned