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Red141
17737.4
351237.0
347844.4
Blue77
882518.2
213535.3
580611.2
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13257010015020014177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.41.5
42.944.4
Auto10.4
Teleop28.7
End5.3
red by 9.1
2135
#44
35.30.7
34.635.3
Auto9.7
Teleop13.4
End12.2
Second
177
#33
37.41.5
35.937.4
Auto8.8
Teleop18.9
End9.8
red by 19.2
8825
#72
18.20.7
17.618.2
Auto5.0
Teleop3.7
End9.5
Third
3512
#46
37.01.5
35.537.0
Auto6.3
Teleop20.4
End10.3
red by 25.8
5806
#73
11.20.7
10.511.2
Auto4.8
Teleop2.3
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
89%Cargo oddsEarned27%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
90%Hangar oddsMissed78%Hangar oddsEarned