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Red99
581725.3
406334.9
82928.3
Blue91
157446.6
162523.1
731510.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96810501502009991

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4063
#35
34.90.2
34.634.9
Auto8.5
Teleop21.3
End5.1
blue by 11.8
1574
#19
46.60.6
45.746.3
Auto12.3
Teleop23.6
End10.7
Second
829
#43
28.30.2
28.128.3
Auto7.4
Teleop12.1
End8.8
red by 5.3
1625
#52
23.10.6
22.423.1
Auto6.9
Teleop11.5
End4.6
Third
5817
#32
25.30.2
25.125.3
Auto6.4
Teleop13.8
End5.1
red by 15.2
7315
#62
10.10.6
9.410.1
Auto3.4
Teleop4.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
90%Cargo oddsEarned85%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
65%Hangar oddsEarned39%Hangar oddsEarned