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Red59
59729.0
20135.3
115616.7
Blue145
17737.4
220242.9
299244.7
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7414405010020025059145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
201
#51
35.31.3
33.832.5
Auto8.3
Teleop18.4
End8.6
blue by 9.4
2992
#18
44.71.3
45.646.9
Auto11.0
Teleop23.9
End9.7
Second
597
#59
29.01.3
26.024.7
Auto8.6
Teleop14.8
End5.6
blue by 13.9
2202
#40
42.91.3
45.446.7
Auto10.1
Teleop25.1
End7.7
Third
1156
#69
16.71.6
18.717.1
Auto4.6
Teleop11.7
End0.4
blue by 20.7
177
#33
37.41.3
34.936.2
Auto8.8
Teleop18.9
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
89%Cargo oddsEarned99%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
56%Hangar oddsMissed91%Hangar oddsEarned