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Red115
180736.3
288333.4
14853.9
Blue120
82928.3
111136.4
642028.5
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1359350150200115120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#26
53.90.4
51.751.3
Auto14.9
Teleop29.9
End9.1
red by 17.4
1111
#16
36.41.8
32.434.2
Auto10.2
Teleop19.2
End7.0
Second
1807
#64
36.30.4
37.036.6
Auto10.3
Teleop16.5
End9.5
red by 7.8
6420
#25
28.51.8
28.830.7
Auto7.2
Teleop11.4
End10.0
Third
2883
#27
33.40.4
32.832.4
Auto8.8
Teleop16.0
End8.6
red by 5.1
829
#43
28.31.8
31.333.1
Auto7.4
Teleop12.1
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsEarned91%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
94%Hangar oddsEarned69%Hangar oddsEarned