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Red89
353846.3
17737.4
803712.5
Blue135
220242.9
49448.7
277128.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10513305015020025030089135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#39
46.30.9
51.550.7
Auto10.3
Teleop29.5
End6.6
blue by 2.4
494
#9
48.70.1
45.745.5
Auto11.4
Teleop24.0
End13.4
Second
177
#33
37.40.9
35.834.9
Auto8.8
Teleop18.9
End9.8
blue by 5.5
2202
#40
42.90.1
45.645.4
Auto10.1
Teleop25.1
End7.7
Third
8037
#74
12.51.2
14.713.6
Auto4.1
Teleop4.6
End3.7
blue by 16.0
2771
#41
28.40.1
30.029.8
Auto8.4
Teleop12.3
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
94%Cargo oddsEarned98%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
88%Hangar oddsMissed89%Hangar oddsEarned