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Red125
162523.1
30242.0
492633.7
Blue102
874518.5
351237.0
18049.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8699050150125102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#22
42.02.9
31.934.7
Auto8.5
Teleop24.5
End9.0
blue by 7.5
180
#21
49.50.7
46.747.4
Auto12.7
Teleop30.2
End6.6
Second
4926
#30
33.72.9
31.834.7
Auto8.6
Teleop15.6
End9.5
blue by 3.3
3512
#46
37.00.7
26.627.3
Auto6.3
Teleop20.4
End10.3
Third
1625
#52
23.12.9
18.521.3
Auto6.9
Teleop11.5
End4.6
red by 4.5
8745
#66
18.50.7
17.918.6
Auto6.7
Teleop8.0
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
85%Cargo oddsEarned84%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
53%Hangar oddsEarned71%Hangar oddsMissed