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Red42
250231.9
873915.7
283913.5
Blue84
353846.3
1125.5
288333.4
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5313401001502004284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2502
#36
31.91.4
28.827.3
Auto7.7
Teleop13.9
End10.4
blue by 14.4
3538
#39
46.32.6
53.050.4
Auto10.3
Teleop29.5
End6.6
Second
8739
#75
15.71.4
13.612.2
Auto3.4
Teleop10.4
End1.9
blue by 17.7
2883
#27
33.42.6
32.529.9
Auto8.8
Teleop16.0
End8.6
Third
2839
#57
13.51.6
17.315.7
Auto3.4
Teleop3.8
End6.3
blue by 12.0
11
#55
25.52.6
29.526.9
Auto6.3
Teleop11.0
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
23%Cargo oddsMissed94%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
65%Hangar oddsEarned91%Hangar oddsMissed