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Red140
283230.7
14853.9
299244.7
Blue150
420146.4
642424.9
18049.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1371280100200300400500140150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#26
53.90.8
50.751.5
Auto14.9
Teleop29.9
End9.1
red by 4.3
180
#21
49.51.1
52.954.0
Auto12.7
Teleop30.2
End6.6
Second
2992
#18
44.70.8
46.947.7
Auto11.0
Teleop23.9
End9.7
blue by 1.7
4201
#45
46.41.1
44.946.0
Auto13.5
Teleop26.9
End6.0
Third
2832
#23
30.70.8
30.231.0
Auto8.7
Teleop16.6
End5.4
red by 5.8
6424
#34
24.91.1
23.524.6
Auto7.8
Teleop12.7
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
100%Cargo oddsEarned95%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
93%Hangar oddsEarned82%Hangar oddsMissed