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Red70
283913.5
521633.1
297633.9
Blue103
491151.9
82928.3
715322.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8211305010015020070103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2976
#15
33.91.0
33.932.9
Auto11.1
Teleop17.2
End5.6
blue by 18.0
51.91.0
50.249.2
Auto11.4
Teleop30.7
End9.8
Second
5216
#54
33.11.0
31.630.6
Auto7.4
Teleop18.2
End7.4
red by 4.8
829
#43
28.31.0
31.330.3
Auto7.4
Teleop12.1
End8.8
Third
2839
#57
13.51.0
15.714.7
Auto3.4
Teleop3.8
End6.3
blue by 8.5
7153
#50
22.01.0
20.419.4
Auto7.0
Teleop11.2
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
95%Cargo oddsEarned97%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
87%Hangar oddsMissed80%Hangar oddsEarned