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Red106
347844.4
48824.9
111136.4
Blue78
406334.9
803712.5
20135.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions958505015010678

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.41.2
35.336.5
Auto10.4
Teleop28.7
End5.3
red by 9.1
201
#51
35.30.2
32.532.3
Auto8.3
Teleop18.4
End8.6
Second
1111
#16
36.41.2
31.132.3
Auto10.2
Teleop19.2
End7.0
red by 1.6
4063
#35
34.90.2
34.334.2
Auto8.5
Teleop21.3
End5.1
Third
488
#56
24.91.2
21.122.3
Auto4.7
Teleop9.1
End11.1
red by 12.5
8037
#74
12.50.2
13.913.7
Auto4.1
Teleop4.6
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
84%Cargo oddsEarned92%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
94%Hangar oddsEarned58%Hangar oddsMissed