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Red137
702130.8
225241.0
642028.5
Blue114
351237.0
761733.3
1125.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1129050100150137114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.01.8
39.941.7
Auto12.9
Teleop19.6
End8.5
red by 4.1
3512
#46
37.01.5
30.732.2
Auto6.3
Teleop20.4
End10.3
Second
7021
#42
30.81.8
35.337.1
Auto10.2
Teleop15.1
End5.5
blue by 2.5
7617
#49
33.31.5
29.531.1
Auto6.6
Teleop20.9
End5.7
Third
6420
#25
28.51.8
26.728.5
Auto7.2
Teleop11.4
End10.0
red by 3.0
11
#55
25.51.5
26.928.4
Auto6.3
Teleop11.0
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
93%Cargo oddsEarned75%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
81%Hangar oddsEarned81%Hangar oddsEarned