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Red64
18049.5
870115.0
220242.9
Blue90
603641.3
244332.6
815914.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13283501001502006490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#21
49.54.1
54.049.9
Auto12.7
Teleop30.2
End6.6
red by 8.2
6036
#17
41.30.4
41.642.0
Auto10.6
Teleop24.8
End5.9
Second
2202
#40
42.94.1
46.842.6
Auto10.1
Teleop25.1
End7.7
red by 10.3
2443
#37
32.60.4
34.334.7
Auto8.5
Teleop12.4
End11.7
Third
8701
#38
15.04.1
16.912.8
Auto3.5
Teleop5.0
End6.5
red by 0.6
8159
#53
14.40.4
8.08.4
Auto5.6
Teleop4.5
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
98%Cargo oddsMissed70%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
93%Hangar oddsEarned81%Hangar oddsEarned