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Red127
288333.4
133949.0
406334.9
Blue103
420146.4
580611.2
59729.0
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12270050100150127103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.01.3
43.444.7
Auto13.5
Teleop23.8
End11.6
red by 2.5
4201
#45
46.41.8
41.643.4
Auto13.5
Teleop26.9
End6.0
Second
4063
#35
34.91.3
32.934.1
Auto8.5
Teleop21.3
End5.1
red by 5.8
597
#59
29.01.8
24.226.0
Auto8.6
Teleop14.8
End5.6
Third
2883
#27
33.41.3
31.232.5
Auto8.8
Teleop16.0
End8.6
red by 22.2
5806
#73
11.22.2
6.48.6
Auto4.8
Teleop2.3
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
98%Cargo oddsEarned71%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
85%Hangar oddsEarned53%Hangar oddsEarned