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Red158
30242.0
299244.7
581725.3
Blue93
290512.7
379411.4
603641.3
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10957010015020015893

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2992
#18
44.73.1
44.747.8
Auto11.0
Teleop23.9
End9.7
red by 3.4
6036
#17
41.32.2
42.044.2
Auto10.6
Teleop24.8
End5.9
Second
302
#22
42.03.1
34.937.9
Auto8.5
Teleop24.5
End9.0
red by 29.3
2905
#65
12.72.2
9.711.9
Auto4.0
Teleop3.7
End5.0
Third
5817
#32
25.33.1
16.519.6
Auto6.4
Teleop13.8
End5.1
red by 13.9
3794
#68
11.42.2
8.911.0
Auto2.5
Teleop6.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
94%Cargo oddsEarned47%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
74%Hangar oddsEarned17%Hangar oddsEarned