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Red95
642424.9
351237.0
276751.3
Blue100
420146.4
882212.8
48824.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125835010015020095100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2767
#11
51.31.6
52.150.5
Auto14.4
Teleop24.1
End12.9
red by 4.9
4201
#45
46.40.3
48.448.7
Auto13.5
Teleop26.9
End6.0
Second
3512
#46
37.01.6
34.733.1
Auto6.3
Teleop20.4
End10.3
red by 12.0
488
#56
24.90.3
23.023.3
Auto4.7
Teleop9.1
End11.1
Third
6424
#34
24.91.6
24.823.2
Auto7.8
Teleop12.7
End4.4
red by 12.1
8822
#31
12.80.3
11.812.1
Auto4.1
Teleop4.6
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
87%Cargo oddsEarned75%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
82%Hangar oddsEarned89%Hangar oddsEarned