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Red75
459211.0
52535.1
521633.1
Blue80
406334.9
115616.7
250231.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80930501502007580

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#29
35.10.1
33.333.1
Auto7.6
Teleop17.3
End10.1
red by 0.2
4063
#35
34.90.7
35.635.0
Auto8.5
Teleop21.3
End5.1
Second
5216
#54
33.10.1
33.833.6
Auto7.4
Teleop18.2
End7.4
red by 1.1
2502
#36
31.90.7
31.430.8
Auto7.7
Teleop13.9
End10.4
Third
4592
#67
11.00.1
10.110.0
Auto3.5
Teleop5.1
End2.3
blue by 5.7
1156
#69
16.70.7
18.918.3
Auto4.6
Teleop11.7
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
98%Cargo oddsEarned87%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
59%Hangar oddsEarned73%Hangar oddsMissed