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Red134
288333.4
603641.3
276751.3
Blue123
62455.8
283230.7
882518.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13710450150200134123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2767
#11
51.30.4
50.550.9
Auto14.4
Teleop24.1
End12.9
blue by 4.4
624
#4
55.80.9
53.454.3
Auto12.9
Teleop33.6
End9.3
Second
6036
#17
41.30.4
41.341.7
Auto10.6
Teleop24.8
End5.9
red by 10.6
2832
#23
30.70.9
29.730.6
Auto8.7
Teleop16.6
End5.4
Third
2883
#27
33.40.4
32.432.8
Auto8.8
Teleop16.0
End8.6
red by 15.2
8825
#72
18.20.9
18.519.4
Auto5.0
Teleop3.7
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsEarned96%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
91%Hangar oddsEarned96%Hangar oddsEarned