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Red146
299244.7
170651.5
49448.7
Blue110
784822.8
205247.0
873915.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1647850100150200250146110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.50.2
50.951.1
Auto12.3
Teleop32.7
End6.5
red by 4.5
2052
#14
47.01.4
46.447.8
Auto11.6
Teleop23.5
End11.9
Second
494
#9
48.70.2
46.546.7
Auto11.4
Teleop24.0
End13.4
red by 25.9
7848
#61
22.81.4
20.822.3
Auto7.3
Teleop10.6
End4.9
Third
2992
#18
44.70.2
45.345.5
Auto11.0
Teleop23.9
End9.7
red by 29.0
8739
#75
15.71.4
17.118.6
Auto3.4
Teleop10.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsEarned81%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
96%Hangar oddsEarned60%Hangar oddsEarned