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Red156
421333.8
167872.7
170651.5
Blue120
491151.9
48824.9
276751.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions177132100150200250156120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.70.1
73.573.4
Auto16.8
Teleop43.0
End12.9
red by 20.8
51.90.3
52.452.1
Auto11.4
Teleop30.7
End9.8
Second
51.50.1
52.252.1
Auto12.3
Teleop32.7
End6.5
red by 0.1
2767
#11
51.30.3
51.851.5
Auto14.4
Teleop24.1
End12.9
Third
4213
#24
33.80.1
34.534.4
Auto6.2
Teleop15.6
End12.0
red by 8.9
488
#56
24.90.3
25.425.1
Auto4.7
Teleop9.1
End11.1