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Red150
449950.0
14853.9
261444.0
Blue140
133949.0
603641.3
157446.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161143100200250150140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#26
53.90.0
54.254.2
Auto14.9
Teleop29.9
End9.1
red by 4.9
49.00.1
48.949.0
Auto13.5
Teleop23.8
End11.6
Second
50.00.0
50.350.3
Auto9.0
Teleop30.4
End10.6
red by 3.4
1574
#19
46.60.1
46.646.7
Auto12.3
Teleop23.6
End10.7
Third
2614
#12
44.00.0
44.344.3
Auto9.4
Teleop23.4
End11.2
red by 2.6
6036
#17
41.30.1
41.341.4
Auto10.6
Teleop24.8
End5.9