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Red168
449950.0
14853.9
261444.0
Blue135
133949.0
603641.3
157446.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161144100200250168135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#26
53.90.2
54.254.4
Auto14.9
Teleop29.9
End9.1
red by 4.9
49.00.0
49.049.0
Auto13.5
Teleop23.8
End11.6
Second
50.00.2
50.350.5
Auto9.0
Teleop30.4
End10.6
red by 3.4
1574
#19
46.60.0
46.746.6
Auto12.3
Teleop23.6
End10.7
Third
2614
#12
44.00.2
44.344.5
Auto9.4
Teleop23.4
End11.2
red by 2.6
6036
#17
41.30.0
41.441.3
Auto10.6
Teleop24.8
End5.9