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Quarterfinal 4-12022 Iowa Regional
Red78
176430.3
252619.8
802416.9
Blue38
642016.3
328417.7
302616.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7252204060801001207838

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1764
#6
30.30.3
29.6→29.9
Auto11.5
Teleop7.3
End11.5
red by 12.6
3284
#9
17.70.3
17.9→17.6
Auto7.0
Teleop9.9
End0.8
Second
2526
#4
19.80.3
19.1→19.4
Auto5.3
Teleop8.9
End5.7
red by 3.3
3026
#22
16.50.3
16.7→16.4
Auto3.0
Teleop7.1
End6.4
Third
8024
#14
16.90.3
16.1→16.5
Auto4.7
Teleop2.0
End10.2
red by 0.6
6420
#28
16.30.3
16.5→16.2
Auto3.9
Teleop8.4
End4.0