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Red26
266714.2
310218.3
593510.2
Blue24
88225.5
583716.2
642016.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372902060801002624

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3102
#26
18.30.6
17.116.5
Auto7.1
Teleop8.4
End2.7
red by 2.0
6420
#28
16.30.5
10.09.5
Auto3.9
Teleop8.4
End4.0
Second
2667
#21
14.20.8
8.98.1
Auto2.5
Teleop5.6
End6.0
blue by 2.0
16.20.5
11.210.7
Auto4.4
Teleop6.7
End5.0
Third
5935
#33
10.20.8
7.66.7
Auto4.4
Teleop4.6
End1.2
red by 4.7
8822
#40
5.50.5
7.06.6
Auto2.6
Teleop2.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsMissed25%Hangar oddsMissed