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Qual 202022 Iowa Regional
Red61
310218.3
802416.9
583716.2
Blue41
320616.3
754127.9
64557.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34450204060806141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3102
#26
18.31.8
16.5→18.2
Auto7.1
Teleop8.4
End2.7
blue by 9.7
7541
#2
27.90.0
16.2→16.2
Auto6.5
Teleop12.1
End9.3
Second
8024
#14
16.92.7
5.9→8.5
Auto4.7
Teleop2.0
End10.2
red by 0.6
3206
#13
16.30.0
12.8→12.8
Auto6.4
Teleop6.1
End3.8
Third
5837
#3
16.22.7
10.7→13.4
Auto4.4
Teleop6.7
End5.0
red by 8.8
6455
#37
7.30.0
11.8→11.8
Auto3.9
Teleop3.0
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
33%Hangar oddsEarned33%Hangar oddsMissed