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Red47
464622.5
88225.5
302616.5
Blue37
641916.1
877011.8
631710.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35371020305060704737

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.51.6
17.018.5
Auto10.1
Teleop8.6
End3.9
red by 6.5
6419
#19
16.10.6
12.111.5
Auto4.2
Teleop8.8
End3.1
Second
3026
#22
16.51.6
9.411.0
Auto3.0
Teleop7.1
End6.4
red by 4.7
8770
#30
11.80.6
12.111.4
Auto4.0
Teleop3.5
End4.3
Third
8822
#40
5.51.6
6.68.1
Auto2.6
Teleop2.0
End0.9
blue by 4.7
6317
#32
10.20.6
10.610.0
Auto2.4
Teleop7.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsMissed20%Hangar oddsMissed