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Red50
877011.8
73096.4
392819.4
Blue43
485910.0
680513.7
802416.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45310102040506070805043

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3928
#18
19.40.7
19.518.8
Auto7.1
Teleop8.6
End3.7
red by 2.5
8024
#14
16.91.4
11.512.9
Auto4.7
Teleop2.0
End10.2
Second
8770
#30
11.80.7
11.410.7
Auto4.0
Teleop3.5
End4.3
blue by 1.9
6805
#24
13.71.4
8.69.9
Auto3.9
Teleop7.7
End2.1
Third
7309
#38
6.40.7
9.38.6
Auto3.1
Teleop2.7
End0.5
blue by 3.7
4859
#41
10.00.8
10.811.6
Auto4.0
Teleop2.6
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
50%Hangar oddsMissed33%Hangar oddsMissed