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Red46
593510.2
784816.1
254917.7
Blue36
88214.2
310218.3
392819.4
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4647303540505560654636

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2549
#12
17.70.6
18.317.7
Auto5.0
Teleop8.1
End4.6
blue by 1.7
3928
#18
19.40.9
20.119.2
Auto7.1
Teleop8.6
End3.7
Second
7848
#27
16.10.3
16.215.9
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End5.1
blue by 2.2
3102
#26
18.30.5
18.918.3
Auto7.1
Teleop8.4
End2.7
Third
5935
#33
10.20.6
8.68.0
Auto4.4
Teleop4.6
End1.2
red by 6.0
8821
#45
4.20.9
5.14.2
Auto1.1
Teleop2.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
36%Hangar oddsMissed31%Hangar oddsMissed