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Red59
402113.9
464622.5
802416.9
Blue36
753116.2
87665.8
64557.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions523702060805936

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.51.3
20.221.5
Auto10.1
Teleop8.6
End3.9
red by 6.4
7531
#23
16.20.1
18.418.3
Auto5.2
Teleop5.8
End5.2
Second
8024
#14
16.91.3
13.314.6
Auto4.7
Teleop2.0
End10.2
red by 9.6
6455
#37
7.30.1
11.111.0
Auto3.9
Teleop3.0
End0.4
Third
4021
#16
13.91.3
13.715.1
Auto4.8
Teleop3.9
End5.3
red by 8.1
8766
#42
5.80.1
7.47.3
Auto0.5
Teleop1.2
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
37%Hangar oddsEarned34%Hangar oddsEarned