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Red40
631710.2
254917.7
96718.0
Blue48
591414.4
583716.2
421332.1
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47622030407080904048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
967
#17
18.00.4
16.416.0
Auto4.7
Teleop7.4
End5.8
blue by 14.1
32.10.6
30.630.0
Auto6.0
Teleop12.6
End13.5
Second
2549
#12
17.70.6
17.717.1
Auto5.0
Teleop8.1
End4.6
red by 1.5
16.20.9
13.212.3
Auto4.4
Teleop6.7
End5.0
Third
6317
#32
10.20.6
11.811.2
Auto2.4
Teleop7.0
End0.8
blue by 4.2
14.40.9
12.711.8
Auto3.7
Teleop6.6
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsMissed25%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsMissed90%Hangar oddsMissed