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Red57
421332.1
557610.5
527515.5
Blue55
504115.6
784816.1
464622.5
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63522040801005755

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.10.3
30.029.7
Auto6.0
Teleop12.6
End13.5
red by 9.5
22.50.4
21.722.1
Auto10.1
Teleop8.6
End3.9
Second
5275
#15
15.50.4
15.815.4
Auto6.1
Teleop5.6
End3.8
blue by 0.6
7848
#27
16.10.3
15.716.0
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End5.1
Third
5576
#35
10.50.5
11.911.4
Auto3.2
Teleop5.2
End2.2
blue by 5.1
5041
#29
15.60.5
12.913.3
Auto3.7
Teleop7.3
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
35%Cargo oddsMissed34%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
61%Hangar oddsEarned24%Hangar oddsEarned