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Red16
88225.5
527515.5
73096.4
Blue72
254917.7
754127.9
310218.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264002060801672

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5275
#15
15.51.1
9.38.2
Auto6.1
Teleop5.6
End3.8
blue by 12.4
27.93.6
9.713.2
Auto6.5
Teleop12.1
End9.3
Second
7309
#38
6.41.1
8.57.4
Auto3.1
Teleop2.7
End0.5
blue by 11.9
3102
#26
18.32.9
14.217.1
Auto7.1
Teleop8.4
End2.7
Third
8822
#40
5.55.7
12.87.0
Auto2.6
Teleop2.0
End0.9
blue by 12.2
2549
#12
17.73.6
12.015.6
Auto5.0
Teleop8.1
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsEarned