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Red75
754127.9
328417.7
583716.2
Blue22
254917.7
87665.8
877011.8
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions643720801007522

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.91.2
25.526.7
Auto6.5
Teleop12.1
End9.3
red by 10.2
2549
#12
17.71.4
19.017.5
Auto5.0
Teleop8.1
End4.6
Second
17.70.9
17.418.3
Auto7.0
Teleop9.9
End0.8
red by 5.9
8770
#30
11.81.4
11.910.5
Auto4.0
Teleop3.5
End4.3
Third
16.21.2
14.215.4
Auto4.4
Teleop6.7
End5.0
red by 10.3
8766
#42
5.81.4
7.25.8
Auto0.5
Teleop1.2
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
44%Cargo oddsEarned20%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
48%Hangar oddsMissed33%Hangar oddsMissed