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Red45
593510.2
504115.6
88214.2
Blue85
591414.4
641916.1
176430.3
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2159040801004585

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5041
#29
15.61.8
13.315.1
Auto3.7
Teleop7.3
End4.6
blue by 14.7
30.32.3
27.630.0
Auto11.5
Teleop7.3
End11.5
Second
5935
#33
10.21.8
8.610.4
Auto4.4
Teleop4.6
End1.2
blue by 5.8
6419
#19
16.13.1
11.814.9
Auto4.2
Teleop8.8
End3.1
Third
8821
#45
4.21.8
2.84.6
Auto1.1
Teleop2.1
End1.0
blue by 10.2
14.43.1
10.813.9
Auto3.7
Teleop6.6
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed22%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
12%Hangar oddsMissed47%Hangar oddsEarned