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Red37
789510.1
228816.2
546113.0
Blue55
763412.5
442128.0
299315.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34480204060801003755

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.20.2
16.516.7
Auto4.2
Teleop6.8
End5.2
blue by 11.9
28.00.8
19.720.5
Auto8.5
Teleop7.9
End11.5
Second
5461
#15
13.00.4
7.98.3
Auto3.7
Teleop6.5
End2.8
blue by 2.6
15.51.3
10.611.9
Auto2.5
Teleop4.9
End8.2
Third
7895
#14
10.10.4
8.99.3
Auto1.7
Teleop4.4
End4.0
blue by 2.3
7634
#16
12.51.3
12.814.1
Auto4.5
Teleop3.3
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
43%Hangar oddsMissed54%Hangar oddsEarned