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Red20
15664.9
85508.6
228816.2
Blue12
213012.4
882010.0
87567.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383402060802012

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.21.0
18.817.8
Auto4.2
Teleop6.8
End5.2
red by 3.8
2130
#18
12.42.7
14.912.2
Auto1.5
Teleop2.5
End8.4
Second
8550
#24
8.61.7
8.26.5
Auto2.8
Teleop3.7
End2.1
blue by 1.4
8820
#23
10.02.7
11.38.6
Auto2.8
Teleop2.7
End4.5
Third
1566
#26
4.91.7
8.06.3
Auto2.2
Teleop2.5
End0.2
blue by 2.5
8756
#21
7.42.7
6.53.7
Auto4.8
Teleop3.0
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
34%Hangar oddsMissed20%Hangar oddsMissed