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Red35
85508.6
259410.8
763412.5
Blue44
883910.7
213012.4
299315.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35400102030506070803544

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7634
#16
12.50.1
14.815.0
Auto4.5
Teleop3.3
End4.7
blue by 3.0
15.50.8
14.315.0
Auto2.5
Teleop4.9
End8.2
Second
2594
#27
10.80.1
12.412.5
Auto2.5
Teleop4.3
End4.0
blue by 1.6
2130
#18
12.40.8
12.213.0
Auto1.5
Teleop2.5
End8.4
Third
8550
#24
8.60.1
6.56.7
Auto2.8
Teleop3.7
End2.1
blue by 2.1
8839
#22
10.70.8
10.711.5
Auto4.6
Teleop4.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed21%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed41%Hangar oddsEarned