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Red69
300611.1
87567.4
212241.9
Blue46
259410.8
442128.0
162216.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5552204060801006946

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.91.2
38.840.0
Auto10.9
Teleop20.7
End10.3
red by 13.9
28.00.2
23.122.8
Auto8.5
Teleop7.9
End11.5
Second
3006
#11
11.11.8
7.89.6
Auto3.0
Teleop3.3
End4.9
blue by 4.9
1622
#25
16.10.2
13.212.9
Auto5.2
Teleop3.7
End7.1
Third
8756
#21
7.41.8
4.86.7
Auto4.8
Teleop3.0
End-0.4
blue by 3.4
2594
#27
10.80.3
13.313.0
Auto2.5
Teleop4.3
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
43%Cargo oddsEarned8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
38%Hangar oddsMissed59%Hangar oddsEarned