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Red55
300611.1
442128.0
763412.5
Blue37
882010.0
213012.4
635812.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54350204060805537

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.00.2
22.823.0
Auto8.5
Teleop7.9
End11.5
red by 15.2
6358
#20
12.80.2
14.414.6
Auto4.4
Teleop4.1
End4.3
Second
7634
#16
12.50.3
15.515.8
Auto4.5
Teleop3.3
End4.7
red by 0.1
2130
#18
12.40.2
13.914.1
Auto1.5
Teleop2.5
End8.4
Third
3006
#11
11.10.3
9.69.9
Auto3.0
Teleop3.3
End4.9
red by 1.1
8820
#23
10.00.2
6.87.0
Auto2.8
Teleop2.7
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
54%Hangar oddsEarned45%Hangar oddsEarned