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Red43
635812.8
189122.2
85466.6
Blue13
459811.3
763412.5
58710.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47280204060804313

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.20.1
21.021.0
Auto6.3
Teleop5.9
End10.0
red by 9.7
7634
#16
12.51.4
15.814.4
Auto4.5
Teleop3.3
End4.7
Second
6358
#20
12.80.1
14.614.6
Auto4.4
Teleop4.1
End4.3
red by 1.4
4598
#12
11.31.4
12.310.9
Auto3.5
Teleop3.8
End4.0
Third
8546
#19
6.60.1
6.56.6
Auto3.3
Teleop2.8
End0.6
red by 6.6
5871
#28
0.11.4
0.6-0.8
Auto1.0
Teleop-1.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
44%Hangar oddsEarned39%Hangar oddsMissed