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Red75
212241.9
789510.1
855111.0
Blue33
883910.7
259410.8
11428.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6953204060801001207533

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.90.6
42.342.9
Auto10.9
Teleop20.7
End10.3
red by 13.7
114
#4
28.21.2
28.827.6
Auto4.1
Teleop12.1
End12.0
Second
8551
#10
11.00.7
11.011.7
Auto5.5
Teleop1.4
End4.0
red by 0.2
2594
#27
10.81.5
11.510.0
Auto2.5
Teleop4.3
End4.0
Third
7895
#14
10.10.8
9.210.0
Auto1.7
Teleop4.4
End4.0
blue by 0.6
8839
#22
10.71.6
11.29.5
Auto4.6
Teleop4.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
54%Cargo oddsEarned20%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
58%Hangar oddsEarned70%Hangar oddsMissed