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Red52
156923.5
321618.3
789510.1
Blue40
883910.7
300611.1
162216.1
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions573402040805240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.50.1
22.722.8
Auto7.2
Teleop8.9
End7.4
red by 7.4
1622
#25
16.10.4
15.115.4
Auto5.2
Teleop3.7
End7.1
Second
18.30.1
17.517.6
Auto4.5
Teleop8.5
End5.3
red by 7.2
3006
#11
11.10.4
10.110.5
Auto3.0
Teleop3.3
End4.9
Third
7895
#14
10.10.1
10.010.1
Auto1.7
Teleop4.4
End4.0
blue by 0.6
8839
#22
10.70.4
9.510.0
Auto4.6
Teleop4.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
28%Cargo oddsEarned9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
76%Hangar oddsEarned25%Hangar oddsEarned