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Red45
882010.0
11428.2
85508.6
Blue15
87567.4
58710.1
635812.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions542004060801004515

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114
#4
28.20.1
27.627.5
Auto4.1
Teleop12.1
End12.0
red by 15.4
6358
#20
12.80.6
14.313.7
Auto4.4
Teleop4.1
End4.3
Second
8820
#23
10.00.1
9.08.9
Auto2.8
Teleop2.7
End4.5
red by 2.5
8756
#21
7.40.7
8.17.4
Auto4.8
Teleop3.0
End-0.4
Third
8550
#24
8.60.1
9.69.5
Auto2.8
Teleop3.7
End2.1
red by 8.5
5871
#28
0.10.6
0.70.1
Auto1.0
Teleop-1.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed19%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
66%Hangar oddsEarned15%Hangar oddsMissed