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Qual 82022 Idaho Regional
Red4
459811.3
87567.4
85466.6
Blue39
156923.5
259410.8
789510.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27360206080100439

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4598
#12
11.32.4
11.9→9.4
Auto3.5
Teleop3.8
End4.0
blue by 12.1
1569
#5
23.50.8
13.5→14.3
Auto7.2
Teleop8.9
End7.4
Second
8756
#21
7.42.4
7.8→5.3
Auto4.8
Teleop3.0
End-0.4
blue by 3.4
2594
#27
10.80.8
10.5→11.3
Auto2.5
Teleop4.3
End4.0
Third
8546
#19
6.62.4
6.4→4.0
Auto3.3
Teleop2.8
End0.6
blue by 3.5
7895
#14
10.10.8
8.2→8.9
Auto1.7
Teleop4.4
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed26%Hangar oddsEarned