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Qual 142022 Midwest Regional
Red51
756015.4
233840.5
464510.8
Blue45
373412.6
67713.3
809610.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6236020801001205145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2338
#1
40.50.5
36.8→36.3
Auto11.4
Teleop15.2
End13.9
red by 27.3
677
#40
13.30.3
13.6→13.9
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End2.3
Second
7560
#20
15.40.9
4.9→4.1
Auto3.8
Teleop3.1
End8.5
red by 2.8
3734
#47
12.60.5
10.1→10.6
Auto4.4
Teleop6.5
End1.7
Third
4645
#38
10.80.5
13.1→12.6
Auto2.9
Teleop3.6
End4.3
blue by 0.2
8096
#37
10.90.3
13.0→13.3
Auto5.3
Teleop2.4
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
35%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
64%Hangar oddsEarned20%Hangar oddsMissed